Andrey Rublev vs Lloyd Harris Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Over the past six months, Harris has a second serve point win rate of 40.39%, compared to Rublev's 45.08%. Could this give Rublev an edge? Yes, as there's a strong link between this metric and predicting match winners.
• Return Game: Harris excels in return games, winning 44.97% of opponents' second serve points vs. Rublev's 42.22%. In first serve returns, Harris again leads with 26.19% over Rublev's 23.86%, highlighting a particular strength.
• Under Pressure: Breakpoint saving is key under pressure. Harris has saved 52.38% while Rublev saves at a higher rate of 60.07%, suggesting Rublev may perform better in tight situations.
• Overall Performance: Looking at the last year's performance, Harris won 42.86% of matches, whereas Rublev has a higher success rate at 57.58%. Does this suggest consistent superiority for Rublev? Yes.
• Best Surface: Harris's win rate on Hard is 71%, slightly higher than Rublev's 66%. On Clay, however, Harris struggles with a 46% win rate compared to Rublev's more robust 63%.
• Player Level: Harris typically competes at Challengers/ITF levels, with a 45.45% win rate, while Rublev participates in Main tour events, succeeding in 65.79% of matches. This indicates a higher level of competition for Rublev.
• Direct Head-to-Head: Rublev has dominated previous encounters, winning all 3 matches and 8 out of 9 sets against Harris. Does history favor Rublev? Absolutely.
• Opponent Difficulty: Harris has faced players averaging a 144.24 rank. Rublev, on the contrary, has encountered tougher opponents, averaging rank 60.3, depicting a more challenging competitive environment.
• Deciding Set Performance: Harris boasts a 60% win rate in deciding sets over the last 12 months, surpassing Rublev's 43%, suggesting resilience in high-pressure situations.
• Break Point Conversion: Recently, Rublev converts 30.07% of break points, outperforming Harris's 23.97%, providing a significant advantage in crucial game moments.

Editorial Prediction (July 2, 2025, UTC):

Examining both players' recent performances, Rublev shows superior form on second serve success and break point saving, crucial aspects for match-winning strategies. Additionally, his historical head-to-head dominance and stronger performance under pressure suggest a solid advantage.

While Harris demonstrates strong return game proficiency and endurance in deciding sets, Rublev's higher level of competition and consistent performance on hard surfaces bolster his case as the likely victor. Furthermore, Rublev's capacity to convert break points more effectively positions him well to exploit key opportunities.

Given these insights, the evidence supports Andrey Rublev as the more probable winner in this upcoming match against Harris.